Demographics 2016



5th Demographic Analysis and Research International Workshop
           1 - 4 June 2016 Valletta, Malta

5th Demographics 2016 Workshop

 1 - 4 June 2016 Valletta, Malta

Focusing on Population Health State and Mortality Estimates 
Verifying the HALE measurements of the Global Burden of Disease Study via Quantitative Methods Proposed
To register please complete the SMTDA registration form  
The rapid improvements last 60 years in science and especially in medicine, biology and the related fields gave rise to better conditions of life leading to a higher life span. Improvement also came in the way we cope with the nature and the natural phenomena. Demography and demographic analysis and research grow rapidly along with the other scientific fields and especially the quantitative branches of mathematics, statistics and more recently the computing methods and techniques. The new methods and techniques along with the classical qualitative aspects of demography tend to straighten the theoretical approaches and lead to various applications in the same or in other scientific fields including social and economic sciences, insurance and finance thus improving the social welfare of the countries. The research now is more interdisciplinary and the aim of the Workshop on Demographics 2014 is to attract people from the academia and practice thus closing the gap between theory and applications. Presentations expressing the state-of-the art will be organised.

The Workshop is organized under the umbrella of the Applied Stochastic Models and Data Analysis International Society - ASMDA International, and it is aimed to gather people interested in improving demography and the related fields of analysis and research including life and physical sciences as well as medical and technical information. We strongly support interdisciplinary studies and the improvement of the analytic tools and research methods. Both theoretical and practical submissions are accepted.

We also promote special works related to Healthy Life Expectancy (HLE) from the HALE measurements of the Global Burden of Disease Study from the World Health Organization (WHO).

We have organized special sessions in the conference and the 5th Demographics Workshop towards the introduction of alternative estimation methods in comparison with the HALE measures.

Even more we include in this webpage the files of a simple model (paper, program and applications) providing enough documentation for the Healthy Life Expectancy estimates. Conference participants can use this model for estimating the HLE for various countries and territories and present in the conference. The results will be included in a special publication.


Abstract and Paper submissions are welcomed by using this website tools.

Please submit your abstract by April 15, 2016 (After the deadline Abstracts could be sent as late submission to the Secretariat)

The deadline for full papers is April 15, 2016

After the deadline Papers can be sent to the secretariat until 1 month after the presentation in the Conference (this is the second stream of submissions to be handled later)


More information at or from the workshop chair:

Christos H Skiadas


Quantitative Methods in Demography

Main Topics

1. Human population and mortality data and databases

2. Models and modeling of human mortality, longevity and life expectancy

3. Gompertz, Gompertz-Makeham, Weibull, Brass, Heligman and Pollard, Lee and Carter
4. Stochastic models, First exit time models of Human mortality
5. Methods and tools for fitting models
6. Nonlinear regression, Nonlinear regression pacquages, Nonlinear regression with Excel
7. Life expectancy limits
8. Life expectancy forecasts
9. Human organism deterioration and application in life expectancy
10. Health state of a population: definition, modeling and estimates
11. The health state function
12. Healthy life expectancy estimates from survey data
13. Healthy life expectancy estimates from death and population data
14. Applications and comparisons of healthy life expectancy estimates
15. Longevity, theory and estimates
16. Human Development Stages Estimates

17. Miscellaneous

18. Other demographic analysis and research topics

The comparisons of the Model and the HALE results of the World Health Organization (WHO) are done following the above example.  You can estimate the: Healthy Life Expectancy (HLE), Life Expectancy (LE), Loss of Healthy Life Years (LHLY) at birth and at all ages.
More than estimating the health parameters and comparing with the HALE measurements of the Global Burden of Disease study this method provides an important tool for policy makers to develop the health policy programs and the insurance programs as well.

Alternative methods based on the Health State Function have also developed and applied.

Poster of the Workshop on Quantitative Methods Proposed to Verify the HALE measures of the Global Burden of Disease Study

As for Brazil we have estimated characteristic parameters of Demographic and Health Indicators for the 193 WHO Countries (1990-2000-2009 males and females). You can find your country estimates and compare these findings with the related from other countries. See and download the related files at:

Download here the Excel Files of the Healthy Life Expectancy (HLE) program to estimate the Loss of Healthy Life Years and the HLE using the World Health Organization (WHO) or the Human Mortality Database (HMD) abridged life tables.
Download here the Excel Files of the Healthy Life Expectancy (HLE) program to estimate the Life Expectancy, the Loss of Healthy Life Years and the HLE using the Human Mortality Database (HMD) Full Life Tables.

Comparisons of the Healthy Life Expectancy estimates between the Mortality Model and the HALE calculations of the World Health Organization (WHO)

    General Topics
  • Biodemography
  • Environment
  • Human longevity
  • Demographic analysis
  • Demographic economics
  • Education and labour force
  • Linguistic demography
  • Health, mortality and longevity
  • Mortality
  • Mortality models
  • Mortality law and Insurance
  • Fertility
  • Population studies
  • Population geography
  • Population ageing and intergenerational relations
  • Population projection
  • Population reconstruction
  • Population statistics
  • Forecasting, methods and data
  • Replacement migration
  • International migration 
  • Internal migration and urbanization
  • Social surveys
  • General Social Survey
  • National Survey
Life Table Analysis and Life Expectancy Estimates

Special Sessions

Life expectancy
Life expectancy at birth
Modeling life expectancy
Calculating life expectancies
Forecasting life expectancy
Life expectancy variations
Policy uses of life expectancy
Increasing life expectancy
Actuarial Life Tables
Insurance applications

Model Building Sessions
Mortality models
The Gompertz and Gompertz-Makeham
The Weibull model
The Strehler and Mildvan general theory of mortality and aging
The Heligman and Pollard model
The Brass model
The Lee and Carter model
Stochastic models
First exit time models
First exit time models and infant mortality
Methods and tools for fitting models
Nonlinear regression
Nonlinear regression pacquages
Nonlinear regression with Excel